SEISMIC ELECTROMAGNETIC PRECURSOR
FESN NETWORK
with the collaboration of ARI Associazione Radioamatori Italiani

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Summary

 

The changes of geophysical soil often contain measurable signs that can be studied in order to highlight signs that, if properly interpreted, can be counted among the seismic precursors.

Among the changes involving electromagnetism, there are changes of conductivity, local variations of the magnetic field and other events related to radio frequency emissions. The ability of the rock to issue radio frequency varies between frequencies departing from ULF up to frequencies of the UHF. There are numerous studies in this area, and carry out some monitoring of very specific frequencies thinking they are more promising as probable precursors. The different characteristics of the rock layers and ipocentric depth, pose serious limits on the research in this field, in fact different geological characteristics of the phenomenon, can respond in different ways also, frustrating the carrying out of the results of studies on specific areas. The carrying out of the results of research in this field may find difficulties or offer certainties. However, the ability to take measurements through simple and low cost tools, and creating an amateur experimental network, can be an excellent opportunity for applied research, since the equipment and effort required are entirely made available to amateurs.

The opportunity, also to use university studies, from which to start, and the possibility to involve official bodies in the study of possible outcomes, makes particularly good this approach in many aspects.

The proposed study includes: monitoring the background of Banda VLF waves (between 0.03 and 300 KHz, and changes due to radio frequency emissions, caused by the phenomenon of expansion rocks subjected to compression of seismic origin.

Introduction

The idea is, that the working group FESN is on the implementation of a network of seismic detection of electromagnetic precursors. Many studies, in the past, have been done on this field, but the difficulties, of making seismic events associated with the readings of these signals, give very limited possibilities to use with the purpose of forewarning.


It is a known fact that the signals Banda VLF and ELF are generated from a variety of sources that include, among others, certain interactions of the solar wind with magneto-sphere, atmospheric electrical discharges (lightning), civilians equipment beats of various kinds, sun.

However, a different source is constituted by phenomena associated with earthquakes, or rather the fracturing of crystalline layers. And well-known the fact that the phenomenon known as expansion, may precede the beginning of a seismic event. The above phenomenon can be summed up as follows: In the first phase, stresses due to the movement of plates accumulate along the critical areas (faults) causing compression of rocks. This phase usually lasts several years and is currently monitored by official corps in the areas most at risk. By the placement of sensors based on GPS technology can measure even the smallest movements of the ground (see dell' OGS GPS network).

When the compression exceeds the elastic capacity of the rock, they form a micro-fracture causing deformation that increase the volume of the rock itself (expansion).

The micro-fracture arranged generally parallel to the maximum compression. The expansion occurs on average, with an effort that is about half of what needed to generate the resulting fracture to the earthquake. The water in nearby groundwater precisely because of expansion, tends to penetrate inside the fractured rock. But the time required to saturate for the rock is fairly long and the process that generates new micro is faster than what is able to saturate. The continuous interaction between the two processes makes under-saturated rocks. The water can eventually saturate the rock and that the stress of compression is such that the rocks micro-fractured are saturated, it is no longer able to support them because the water inside the interstices, being almost uncompressible reduces the capacity elastic of the rock. And at this stage it starts and spreads the fracture that generates seismic event. The expansion then tends to delay the onset of the earthquake increasing the elasticity of the rock while the water, when they can saturate the rocks, restores the transmission of text compression, reducing the time required to achieve the strength to break and thus of the seismic event. During the phenomenon of expansion, which can last from a few hours to several days, we can verify some measurable physical parameters, such as electrical resistance, the height of the flap, the emission of radon gas or hydrogen gas, can also occur swarms micro-seismic storms.

Studies in the ULF band (between 0.1 and 10 Hz), ELF and VLF (between 10 Hz and 30 kHz) are currently Corsican in the United States, but do not have reported detections correlated to earthquakes, although in the ULF the anomalies are detected that could be considered precursors.

The detection of changes the scale of the background noise detectable by simple radio devices has stimulated specific studies in this field. Some evidence, also reported by radio amateurs during the days preceding the strong shock dell'Umbria, led the prof. Ezio Roberto Mognaschi of Pavia, Dipartimento di Fisica "A. Volta, with amateur IW2GOO name, recently deceased, to conduct specific studies and assume a physical mechanism for the production of electromagnetic waves by the crystal rocks, and to verify in the laboratory the veracity of hypothesis advanced.

In order to check the electromagnetic emission, rocks, it is essential that they are crystalline. In this connection it should be recalled that in Friuli, while failing, to be present in a very limited application, the granite rocks of volcanic origin, in addition to the basement place in depth, there are several rocks of a lens (marbles) arising from the partial melting of limestone . The hypothesis of prof. Mognaschi includes the following mechanism: -- Some time (from a few hours to a few days) before the destructive earthquake, the phenomenon of expansion increases exponentially, causing micro-fractures which propagate as branched within the crystalline material. -- The rupture of crystal ties, if the material is not a good conductor (as the rock precisely), produces intense electric fields. These are in fact generated by the imbalance caused by the breaking of molecular crystal structures with consequent formation of ions opposite sign that comes to the line of sight, a small distance. This condition creates small electric dipoles that remain alive during the period of relaxation of the rock at the fracture. The life time of electric dipoles is very limited, about (4-10) seconds and depends on the resistance of the rock and its dielectric constant. However, despite it being short, I fear, simply to generate the dipoles an electromagnetic field. Atoms positioned on one side of the rock micro-fractured, being subjected to electromagnetic forces recall of those seats on the opposite side, a cause of electric dipoles which in turn generate electromagnetic waves. However, the dipoles are too small compared to the wave length Emitted, to be efficient, also the layers of rock between the surface and ipo-center fencing partially signals, and then the noise radiated can be detected only in the areas surrounding the epicenter.

 

Software and receiving system description

 

With the purpose of detection the electromagnetic and seismic precursors and to detect the area of the same issue, a software and a receiver combined with a digitizer has been developed, by some radio amateurs in the province of La Spezia, including: -- Roberto Violi (IK1XHH) has developed written and compiled software;

- Giuliano Sandal (I1SAF), Bruno Grassi (IK1WVG) and Adam Mancini (IK2SBB) have developed the receiver-digitizer. The device has a main purpose, but not unique to GROPED predict seismic phenomenon with some indicating advance about the area of origin of the seismic precursor electromagnetic (PSE) and possibly also estimating the intensity of the signal in the area origin. From the initial version of the program to the one used currently, the features are enhanced with new and more sophisticated functions that relate to the acquisition of data through devices such as the dynamic threshold and butterfly cross line, displayed in real time through graphics, the possibility to compare files from potential PSE is automatic with manual choice, the ability to compare data from different stations, with detection software devices for calibration of the receiver, etc.. At the beginning, the purpose of the programme (detection and data storage) was to run together with a more ambitious goal, namely data processing, through appropriate mathematical models. Thus, in order to determine the place of origin of the PSE and to estimate the 'intensity of electromagnetic phenomenon at subscription. Its made possible by the program management of a network of detecting potentially unlimited number of stations in the system components.

The management of this issue and 'particularly complex involving maps with different scales, placement of stations in the network and their changes over time, their possible use for coupling the forecast with mathematical models related. The program, finally, by the drawing aspect, classification and research data in order to deepen understanding of the phenomena PSE.


The antenna

 

The contribution of FESN for this type of research, has been to study and implement a suitable antenna, easily reproducible with materials easily accessible, but with final characteristics adapted to expectations. Has been developed, in fact, a made in aluminium tube in which the winding is made up of one hundred flexible wire coils.

In order to avoid dispersion, the winding has been outdistanced by metal shielding for static electricity through wooden supports.

The antenna is capable of receiving the magnetic component signal, to be sent to Banda wide receiver, and given that the antenna directivity has positioned in the vertical plane, it was decided to mount the antenna with horizontal polarization to avoid errors in calculating the emission zone.

The FESN is in the process of positioning No 6 detection stations in the region in the following locations Pozzuolo del Friuli, Manzano, Gorizia, Cabia Arta Terme, Gaiarine (TV), Malnisio. The data collected will eventually significant first shared with the OGS of Trieste and subsequently made available on the website of the group www.fesn.org periodic reports.

Features and size: Profile aluminium 40x40 mm Spacers wood thickness 10 mm Length of the inner side 75 cm apart Winding obtained with 10 coils of flat formed by 10 coupled wires Interruption of shielding on the side opposite to the point of taking away mm 2


Antenna detail images

The network monitoring electromagnetic precursors of FESN

 

The FESN is in the process of positioning No 6 detection stations in the region in the following locations:

- Pozzuolo del Friuli
- Manzano
- Gorizia
- Cabia di Arta Terme
- Pian del Cansiglio
- Tarcento

The data collected will eventually be shared with the OGS of Trieste and subsequently made available on this site through periodic reports.

Software and Hardware

 

The FESN is in the process of positioning No. 6 detection stations in the region in the following locations: Pozzuolo del Friuli, Manzano, Gorizia, Cabia Arta Terme, Gaiarine (TV), Pian del Cansiglio.

The data collected will eventually be first shared with the OGS of Trieste and subsequently made available on this site through periodic reports.

The software, manual and details of the party hardware can be downloaded at the following address:

http://mio.discoremoto.alice.it/memibea

 

 
Initial software window


Receiver electrical scheme


A/D converter electrical scheme

PSE Example

Bibliography

 

I. L. Nersesov e A. N. Semonova in Physical Basis of Foreshocks, Nauka, Mosca, (1969)
P. Varotsos e K. Alexopoulos, Tectonophysics, 110, 73 (1984)
J. W. Warwick, C. Stoker e T. R. Meyer, J. Geophys. Res., 87, 2851 (1982)
A. C. Fraser-Smith et al., Geophys Res. Lett., 17, 1465 (1990)
J. Y. Dea, P. M. Hansen e W.-M. Boerner, Phys.
Earth Planetary Interiors, 77, 109 (1993)
F. Bella et al., comunicazione alla XXI General Assembly della IUGG, Boulder, (1995)
F. Bella et al. in Electromagnetic Phenomena Related to Earhtquake Prediction, Terra Scientific Publishing Company, Tokyo, (1994)
E. Mognaschi, Radioonde, 8, 2 (1997)
E. Mognaschi, Radiorama, 12/97, pag. 34
M. Eleuteri, comunicazione privata C. H. Scholz, J. Geophys.
Res., 73, 1417 (1968)
L'Astronomia n. 287 pag. 35 - Luglio (2007)

CONSTANTINE THANASSOULAS
(B. Sc Physics M. Sc. - Ph. D. in Applied Geophysics)

SHORT TERM EARTHQUAKE PREDICTION

H. DOUNIAS & CO. GREECE

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